{"id":16453,"date":"2025-05-21T00:47:00","date_gmt":"2025-05-21T00:47:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enable.local\/?p=16453"},"modified":"2026-03-03T12:28:38","modified_gmt":"2026-03-03T17:28:38","slug":"tariffs-trade-and-trump-operating-in-uncertainty","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enable.com\/resources\/articles\/tariffs-trade-and-trump-operating-in-uncertainty\/","title":{"rendered":"Tariffs, Trade, and Trump: Operating in Uncertainty"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>At this year\u2019s Catalyze conference in Chicago, Omar Nashashibi, a seasoned Washington D.C. lobbyist with over 25 years of experience led an insightful session on the unprecedented state of U.S. tariffs and trade policy. His message was clear: the rules of global commerce are shifting fast, and businesses need to be ready.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here are a few key takeaways from this insightful session to help you navigate the murky waters of tariffs and trade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Tariffs: A Powerful (and Risky) Policy Tool<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The session began by unpacking how the Trump administration has been using tariffs aggressively as part of its global trade policy, often stretching legal boundaries to impose them. From sweeping tariffs on Chinese goods to deals in the works with other global partners, the landscape has grown more complex and unpredictable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The message for businesses: don\u2019t assume today\u2019s rules will be tomorrow\u2019s reality.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nashashibi made it clear that this time around, trade decisions are being made at lightning speed \u2014 sometimes literally overnight. \u201cYou\u2019ve got to develop systems to determine your exposure and your risk, not just for yourself but for your customers,\u201d he warned. \u201cAnd those systems must be flexible, what\u2019s true at 10 a.m. may not be true at 10 p.m.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Perception vs. Reality: The Real-World Impact<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Tariffs aren\u2019t just abstract policy moves, their effects ripple through supply chains, pricing, and sourcing strategies, impacting businesses in a multitude of ways. Omar highlighted how tariffs imposed on exports from China, Vietnam, Thailand, and the EU have had unexpected consequences, even hitting trade partners like Canada and Mexico under USMCA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Omar&#8217;s advice: &#8220;Whatever you build today, be flexible for tomorrow.&#8221; That means designing supply chains that can pivot when necessary and staying ahead of policy changes that could impact access or costs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He also noted that tariffs are being applied on more than just products, they\u2019re now hitting transportation modes and vessels. \u201cHe\u2019s tarring the vessel, he\u2019s tarring the product, and he\u2019s tarring the country,\u201d Nashashibi said, summarizing how deep the new tariff regimes are reaching into logistics and infrastructure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-embed-handler wp-block-embed-embed-handler wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Catalyze 2025: Tariffs, Trade, and Trump: Operating in Uncertainty\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/DUfjw0mwNrU?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Trade Agreements Are a Moving Target<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>While the global trade environment may feel chaotic, there are reasons to be optimistic. Businesses can stay resilient if they stay informed. Throughout the session, Omar highlighted the ongoing complexity of international negotiations, the influence of the U.S. Supreme Court, and the ever-shifting web of regulations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>One essential tool he spotlighted is the Harmonized Tariff Schedule (HTS) code. Knowing your HTS codes is essential for businesses affected by tariffs, allowing you to identify product exemptions and anticipate cost impacts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nashashibi urged businesses to stop thinking in terms of SKUs and start thinking in HTS codes: \u201cThe U.S. government maintains over 3.1 million codes at the 10-digit level. If you don\u2019t know your code, you don\u2019t know your risk.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Tariff Rates: High Stakes for Key Industries<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The numbers shared during this session were truly eye-opening, with tariffs on Chinese imports ranging anywhere from 25% to 170%. Steel, aluminum, pharmaceuticals, and the automotive industry are already feeling the squeeze and there may be even more tariffs and trade regulations on the way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Understanding why these tariffs are imposed, how they\u2019re enforced, and what your business can do to adapt is critical to staying competitive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nashashibi pointed out that the administration is leveraging multiple legal authorities to apply tariffs: the&nbsp;<strong>International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA)<\/strong>,&nbsp;<strong>Section 301<\/strong>, and&nbsp;<strong>Section 232<\/strong>, among others. Each carries different requirements, and some (like Section 232 for national security) are virtually immune from Congressional oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And that\u2019s the strategy: \u201cTrump\u2019s not just using one trade law, he\u2019s using all of them,\u201d said Nashashibi. \u201cThat gives him room to maneuver and complicates the challenge for businesses trying to respond.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Could IP Be Next?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>One troubling development that has arisen in recent days is the prospect of tariffs on intellectual property \u2014 even on U.S. movies and entertainment. While this proposal remains a hypothetical for now, such a move could set off a chain reaction of retaliatory tariffs on U.S. services and exports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s a stark reminder: tariffs are no longer limited to physical goods; the digital and creative economies could be next in line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The implications of such a move could be enormous, affecting not just Hollywood but global service exports, from software to engineering. \u201cWe\u2019ve never seen a president attempt to tariff intellectual property before,\u201d Nashashibi warned. \u201cIt would be a dangerous precedent.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Duty Drawback: A Partial Safety Net<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>When asked about ways to recover paid tariffs, Omar introduced the concept of duty drawback, a little-known process that allows businesses to claim refunds on certain duties and taxes for goods that are exported or destroyed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While it offers some relief, reclaiming these costs isn\u2019t easy. The process is complex, and enforcement is often limited by agency resources. In most cases, duties are paid as goods enter U.S. ports and must be managed through customs brokers leaving businesses to do the heavy lifting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Enforcement Gap \u2014 and the Strategic Opportunity<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Nashashibi also noted a significant challenge: enforcement. \u201cCustoms doesn\u2019t have the resources to track everything. Commerce doesn\u2019t have the staff. The Trade Representative\u2019s office only has 250 people. They\u2019re flying blind.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While this chaos creates risk, it also creates opportunity for companies that do their homework. \u201cYou can win by outrunning the bear,\u201d he said. \u201cIf your competitors are exposed and you\u2019re not, you have leverage.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Looking Ahead: Tariffs, Trade, and Global Shifts<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The session wrapped with a broader perspective on where all of these tariff developments might lead. The U.S.-China relationship, shifting alliances, and the sustainability of current trade practices all point toward continued volatility. So how can businesses stay ahead of the curve?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Audit your tariff exposure:<\/strong>\u00a0Know your HTS codes, suppliers\u2019 countries of origin, and the potential costs of each tariff scenario.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Build supply chain agility:\u00a0<\/strong>Diversify sourcing, add redundancies, and create flexibility in your contracts.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Engage with policymakers and associations:<\/strong>\u00a0Many businesses were caught off guard by past tariff moves. Stay plugged into trade associations, Chambers of Commerce, and policy updates.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Leverage technology:\u00a0<\/strong>Tools that provide real-time trade and pricing data, customs classifications, and cost modeling are critical.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Prepare senior stakeholders:<\/strong>\u00a0Tariffs are now strategic risks. CFOs and CEOs must understand their potential financial impacts and regulatory timelines.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>For supply chain professionals, the message is clear. Stay informed, stay flexible, and stay prepared. As Omar Nashashibi reminded the audience, \u201cTariffs are here to stay. The question is on whom, for how much, and for how long.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Because when it comes to tariffs, it\u2019s not a matter of if\u2014but when.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Looking to stay one step ahead of tariffs?&nbsp;<\/strong><strong>Get the essential toolkit.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>At this year\u2019s Catalyze conference in Chicago, Omar Nashashibi, a seasoned Washington D.C. lobbyist with over 25 years of experience led an insightful session on the unprecedented state of U.S. tariffs and trade policy. His message was clear: the rules of global commerce are shifting fast, and businesses need to be ready. Here are a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":30,"featured_media":15082,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"tags":[372],"class_list":["post-16453","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-tariffs"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Tariffs, Trade, and Trump: Operating in Uncertainty &#8212; Enable<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover key insights from Omar Nashashibi on the evolving tariff landscape, including the impact on global supply chains, enforcement challenges, and risk.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.enable.com\/resources\/articles\/tariffs-trade-and-trump-operating-in-uncertainty\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Tariffs, Trade, and Trump: Operating in Uncertainty &#8212; 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